Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

At Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet the Washington Commanders, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Buccaneers should be victorious, based on our computer model — continue reading to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Buccaneers ranked 23rd in total offense (313 yards per game) and 23rd in total defense (344.2 yards allowed per game) last year. The Commanders owned the 24th-ranked offense last season (312.8 yards per game), and they were worse on defense, ranking worst with 388.9 yards allowed per game.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-3.5) Over (42.5) Buccaneers 32, Commanders 13

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Commanders, based on the moneyline, is 39.2%.
  • Washington compiled a 6-10-1 record against the spread last season.
  • The Commanders covered the spread three times last season (3-6-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • A total of 10 of Washington games last season hit the over.
  • The average total for Commanders games last season was 43 points, 0.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The Buccaneers have a 65.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Tampa Bay went 11-6-0 ATS last season.
  • The Buccaneers were favored by 3.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • Last season, six Tampa Bay games went over the point total.
  • Buccaneers games last season posted an average total of 41.3, which is 1.2 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 20.5 19.1 17.6 17.1 23 20.9
Commanders 19.4 30.5 16 34 22.3 27.3

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