A victory by the New York Giants over the Washington Commanders is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Sept. 15 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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Despite sporting a bottom-five defense that ranked worst in the NFL (388.9 yards allowed per game) last season, the Commanders played better offensively, ranking 24th in the NFL by putting up 312.8 yards per game. The Giants were a bottom-five scoring offense last year, ranking third-worst with 15.6 points per game. Defensively, they ranked 26th in the NFL (23.9 points allowed per game).

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Commanders vs. Giants Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Commanders a 55.6% chance to win.
• Washington covered six times in 17 games with a spread last season.
• The Commanders did not cover the spread last season (0-4 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 10 times in Washington games.
• The over/under in this game is 43.5 points, 0.5 higher than the average total in Commanders games last season.

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Giants Betting Info

• The Giants have a 48.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York put together an 8-8-1 ATS record last season.
• The Giants were an underdog by 1.5 points or more 16 times last season, and covered the spread in eight of those contests.
• New York games went over the point total six out of 17 times last year.
• The over/under for this game is 2.9 points higher than the average scoring total for Giants games last season (40.6).

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Commanders vs. Giants 2023 Scoring Insights

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