On Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET, the Washington Commanders will face the Atlanta Falcons at Commanders Field. Our computer model predicts that the Commanders will earn a victory — keep scrolling for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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On offense, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 373.5 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (322.9 yards allowed per game). In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 17th in the NFL (21.8 points per game), and they are 20th on the other side of the ball (23.3 points allowed per game).

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Commanders vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have a 65.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Washington has put together a 9-6-0 record against the spread this season.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Commanders have an ATS record of 3-2.
• In Washington’s 15 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times.
• The over/under for this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 more than the average point total for Commanders games this season (playoffs included).

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Falcons Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta has covered six times in 15 chances against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• Atlanta games have hit the over five out of 15 times this year.
• Falcons games average 46 total points, 0.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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