Wednesday’s game between the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (7-6, 0-0 SoCon) and the VMI Keydets (6-7, 0-0 SoCon) at Freedom Hall Civic Center should be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 80-66 and heavily favors East Tennessee State to take home the win. Tipoff is at 12:00 PM ET on January 1.

Based on our computer prediction, VMI projects to cover the 15.5-point spread in its matchup against East Tennessee State. The over/under is listed at 146.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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East Tennessee State vs. VMI Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
• Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Johnson City, Tennessee
• Venue: Freedom Hall Civic Center
• Line: East Tennessee State -15.5
• Point total: 146.5
• Moneyline (to win): East Tennessee State -2000, VMI +980

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East Tennessee State vs. VMI Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  East Tennessee State 80, VMI 66

Spread & Total Prediction for East Tennessee State vs. VMI

• Pick ATS: VMI (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (146.5)

East Tennessee State has compiled a 4-6-0 record against the spread this season, while VMI is 6-3-0. The Buccaneers have a 4-6-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Keydets have a record of 3-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 154.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, East Tennessee State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. VMI has gone 6-3 against the spread and 2-7 overall in its last 10 matches.

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East Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Buccaneers average 75.0 points per game (204th in college basketball) while allowing 67.4 per contest (89th in college basketball). They have a +99 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.6 points per game.
• East Tennessee State wins the rebound battle by 3.5 boards on average. It records 34.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 117th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.9 per contest.
• East Tennessee State knocks down 2.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.8 (105th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5.
• The Buccaneers rank 205th in college basketball by averaging 95.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 82nd in college basketball, allowing 86.0 points per 100 possessions.
• East Tennessee State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.9 per game (125th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.2 (93rd in college basketball).

VMI Performance Insights

• The Keydets outscore opponents by 8.7 points per game (posting 79.9 points per game, 90th in college basketball, and giving up 71.2 per outing, 185th in college basketball) and have a +113 scoring differential.
• VMI records 34.5 rebounds per game (107th in college basketball) while conceding 30.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.0 boards per game.
• VMI knocks down 10.3 three-pointers per game (30th in college basketball), 1.5 more than its opponents. It shoots 34.4% from beyond the arc (157th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 32.1%.
• VMI wins the turnover battle by 2.6 per game, committing 10.5 (79th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.1.

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