Saturday’s contest at Liberty Arena has the Liberty Flames (12-2, 0-1 CUSA) matching up with the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (10-4, 1-0 CUSA) at 6:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 77-67 win, as our model heavily favors Liberty.

Based on our computer prediction, Liberty is projected to cover the point spread (8.5) versus Middle Tennessee. The two teams are expected to go over the 139.5 total.

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Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: CBS Sports Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lynchburg, Virginia
• Venue: Liberty Arena
• Line: Liberty -8.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): Liberty -365, Middle Tennessee +285

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Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Liberty 77, Middle Tennessee 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee

• Pick ATS: Liberty (-8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)

Liberty has compiled an 8-3-0 record against the spread this season, while Middle Tennessee is 9-3-0. The Flames are 5-6-0 and the Blue Raiders are 6-6-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 159.7 points per game, 20.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Liberty is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its last 10 games, while Middle Tennessee has gone 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Liberty Performance Insights

• The Flames’ +301 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 21.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 80.6 points per game (73rd in college basketball) while allowing 59.1 per contest (eighth in college basketball).
• Liberty ranks 157th in the nation at 33.6 rebounds per game. That’s 5.6 more than the 28.0 its opponents average.
• Liberty connects on 11.0 three-pointers per game (12th in college basketball) while shooting 38.4% from beyond the arc (30th in college basketball). It is making 5.6 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 5.4 per game while shooting 28.3%.
• The Flames’ 107.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 15th in college basketball, and the 78.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank ninth in college basketball.
• Liberty has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.0 per game (49th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.9 (118th in college basketball).

Middle Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Blue Raiders outscore opponents by 8.2 points per game (posting 79.1 points per game, 99th in college basketball, and conceding 70.9 per contest, 173rd in college basketball) and have a +114 scoring differential.
• Middle Tennessee comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.8 boards. It records 36.3 rebounds per game (42nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.5.
• Middle Tennessee makes 7.0 three-pointers per game (264th in college basketball), 1.1 more than its opponents. It shoots 31.4% from beyond the arc (287th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 26.7%.
• Middle Tennessee and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Blue Raiders commit 11.0 per game (137th in college basketball) and force 11.9 (185th in college basketball).

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