At AT&T Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5, the Washington Commanders play the Dallas Cowboys, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET. The Commanders should win, according to our computer model — continue scrolling to find more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Commanders own the ninth-ranked defense this year (323.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking fourth-best with 375.9 yards per game. The Cowboys’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in scoring defense this season, surrendering 27.8 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 21st with 20.7 points per contest.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 75.0% in this game.
• Washington has covered the spread 10 times in 16 games this season.
• The Commanders have covered the spread once when favored by 6.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• Washington games have gone over the point total 11 out of 16 times this season.
• Commanders games have had an average of 46.1 points this season, 2.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Cowboys Betting Info

• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 29.4% chance of a victory for the Cowboys.
• Dallas has compiled a 6-10-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year (in four opportunities).
• Dallas and its opponent have combined to hit the over 11 out of 16 times this season.
• The average total points scored in Cowboys games (postseason included) this year (44) is 1.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Scoring Insights

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