Liberty vs. Sam Houston Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 9

Published 3:29 pm Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Thursday’s contest between the Liberty Flames (13-2, 1-1 CUSA) and Sam Houston Bearkats (7-8, 0-2 CUSA) squaring off at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum has a projected final score of 78-69 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Liberty, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 9:00 PM ET on January 9.

Based on our computer prediction, Liberty is projected to cover the point spread (4.5) against Sam Houston. The two sides are expected to go over the 144.5 over/under.

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Liberty vs. Sam Houston Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: CBS Sports Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Huntsville, Texas
  • Venue: Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum
  • Line: Liberty -4.5
  • Point total: 144.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Liberty -194, Sam Houston +160

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Liberty vs. Sam Houston Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Liberty 78, Sam Houston 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Liberty vs. Sam Houston

  • Pick ATS: Liberty (-4.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (144.5)

Liberty’s record against the spread so far this season is 9-3-0, and Sam Houston’s is 3-9-0. The Flames are 5-7-0 and the Bearkats are 9-3-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 160 points per game, 15.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Liberty is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its past 10 games, while Sam Houston has gone 2-8 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Liberty Performance Insights

  • The Flames’ +311 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 20.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 80.1 points per game (76th in college basketball) while allowing 59.3 per contest (seventh in college basketball).
  • Liberty wins the rebound battle by 4.7 boards on average. It collects 33.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 145th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.9 per contest.
  • Liberty hits 5.4 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.9 (10th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.5.
  • The Flames rank 19th in college basketball with 106.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and fifth in college basketball defensively with 78.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Liberty wins the turnover battle by 2.7 per game, committing 10.0 (48th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.7.

Sam Houston Performance Insights

  • The Bearkats have a +25 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.7 points per game. They’re putting up 79.9 points per game, 80th in college basketball, and are giving up 78.2 per contest to rank 323rd in college basketball.
  • Sam Houston averages 32.3 rebounds per game (223rd in college basketball) while conceding 30.7 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.6 boards per game.
  • Sam Houston connects on 8.7 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 9.1 on average.
  • Sam Houston and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Bearkats commit 12.2 per game (251st in college basketball) and force 12.7 (125th in college basketball).

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