Our computer model projects a win for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they meet the Washington Commanders at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 12 at 8 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Buccaneers own the 16th-ranked defense this season (22.6 points allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 29.5 points per game. The Commanders’ defense ranks 18th in the NFL with 23 points allowed per game, but they’ve been carried by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by accumulating 28.5 points per game.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.6% chance of a victory for the Commanders.
• Washington has put together a 10-7-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Commanders have been an underdog by 3 points or more six times this season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
• Washington games have hit the over 11 out of 17 times this season.
• The over/under for this game is 4.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Commanders games (45.9).

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The Buccaneers have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Tampa Bay has covered the spread 10 times in 17 games this season.
• The Buccaneers have an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 3-point favorites this season.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to go over the point total 12 out of 17 times this season.
• Buccaneers games this season have posted an average total of 45.5, which is five points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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