Saturday’s game between the Liberty Flames (14-4, 2-3 CUSA) and New Mexico State Aggies (11-6, 4-0 CUSA) matching up at Liberty Arena has a projected final score of 74-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Liberty, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on January 18.

According to our computer prediction, New Mexico State projects to cover the 7.5-point spread in its matchup versus Liberty. The over/under is currently listed at 133.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Lynchburg, Virginia
• Venue: Liberty Arena
• Line: Liberty -7.5
• Point total: 133.5
• Moneyline (to win): Liberty -330, New Mexico State +260

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Liberty 74, New Mexico State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Liberty vs. New Mexico State

• Pick ATS: New Mexico State (+7.5)
• Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Liberty has gone 10-5-0 against the spread, while New Mexico State’s ATS record this season is 7-7-0. A total of eight out of the Flames’ games this season have gone over the point total, and six of the Aggies’ games have gone over. The teams score an average of 153.4 points per game, 19.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Liberty has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in the past 10 games. New Mexico State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Liberty Performance Insights

• The Flames average 78.9 points per game (87th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per outing (eighth in college basketball). They have a +312 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 17.3 points per game.
• Liberty wins the rebound battle by an average of 2.8 boards. It is pulling down 32.6 rebounds per game (184th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.8 per contest.
• Liberty hits 4.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.7 (14th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.8.
• The Flames put up 105.2 points per 100 possessions (28th in college basketball), while allowing 82.1 points per 100 possessions (16th in college basketball).
• Liberty has committed 2.7 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.7 (30th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.4 (138th in college basketball).

New Mexico State Performance Insights

• The Aggies outscore opponents by 7.3 points per game (posting 74.5 points per game, 201st in college basketball, and allowing 67.2 per contest, 62nd in college basketball) and have a +124 scoring differential.
• New Mexico State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 4.4 boards. It pulls down 36.0 rebounds per game (37th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.6.
• New Mexico State makes 8.1 three-pointers per game (147th in college basketball) while shooting 35.5% from deep (96th in college basketball). It is making 1.5 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.6 per game at 29.1%.
• New Mexico State and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Aggies commit 11.6 per game (196th in college basketball) and force 10.8 (273rd in college basketball).

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