VMI vs. Citadel Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18

Published 11:28 pm Friday, January 17, 2025

Saturday’s game between the Citadel Bulldogs (5-11, 0-5 SoCon) and VMI Keydets (7-11, 1-4 SoCon) going head to head at McAlister Field House has a projected final score of 72-71 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Citadel, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will tip off at 1:00 PM ET on January 18.

Based on our computer prediction, Citadel is projected to cover the spread (1.5) against VMI. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 135.5 over/under.

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VMI vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Charleston, South Carolina
  • Venue: McAlister Field House
  • Line: VMI -1.5
  • Point total: 135.5
  • Moneyline (to win): VMI -118, Citadel -104

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VMI vs. Citadel Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Citadel 72, VMI 71

Spread & Total Prediction for VMI vs. Citadel

  • Pick ATS: Citadel (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (135.5)

VMI is 10-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Citadel’s 5-7-0 ATS record. A total of five out of the Keydets’ games this season have gone over the point total, and five of the Bulldogs’ games have gone over. The teams score 145.5 points per game, 10.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, VMI has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 1-9 overall. Citadel has gone 3-7 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 matches.

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VMI Performance Insights

  • The Keydets outscore opponents by 4.1 points per game (scoring 76.4 points per game to rank 147th in college basketball while allowing 72.3 per outing to rank 218th in college basketball) and have a +73 scoring differential overall.
  • VMI ranks 154th in the country at 33 rebounds per game. That’s 1.7 more than the 31.3 its opponents average.
  • VMI connects on 9.7 three-pointers per game (44th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.7. It shoots 34.3% from deep while its opponents hit 34% from long range.
  • The Keydets rank 157th in college basketball with 96.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 184th in college basketball defensively with 91.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • VMI wins the turnover battle by 1.7 per game, committing 11.2 (148th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.9.

Citadel Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs have a -64 scoring differential, falling short by four points per game. They’re putting up 69.1 points per game, 310th in college basketball, and are allowing 73.1 per contest to rank 235th in college basketball.
  • The 32.7 rebounds per game Citadel accumulates rank 179th in the nation. Their opponents pull down 32.
  • Citadel connects on 7.9 three-pointers per game (167th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.3 on average.
  • Citadel has committed 13.5 turnovers per game (325th in college basketball), 2.6 more than the 10.9 it forces (260th in college basketball).

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