Commanders vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5

Published 4:36 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024

Our computer model predicts a win for the Washington Commanders when they play the Cleveland Browns at Commanders Field on Sunday, Oct. 6 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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On offense, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best in the NFL by compiling 30.3 points per game. They rank 25th on defense (25.5 points allowed per game). The Browns’ offense has been a bottom-five unit in total offense this season, putting up 246.3 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 11th with 299.0 total yards allowed per contest.

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Commanders vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (-3) Over (43.5) Commanders 37, Browns 10

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Commanders a 61.5% chance to win.
  • Washington is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
  • In Washington’s four games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 43.5 points, 1.4 fewer than the average total in this season’s Commanders contests (postseason included).

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Browns Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.6% chance of a victory for the Browns.
  • Cleveland has won one game against the spread this year.
  • The Browns have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • Cleveland games have gone over the point total just once this year.
  • Browns games average 39.5 total points (playoffs included), 4.0 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Commanders 30.3 25.5 21.0 18.0 33.3 28.0
Browns 16.5 21.8 16.0 27.0 17.0 16.5

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