How to Pick the Hurricanes vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 11

Published 8:39 pm Wednesday, October 9, 2024

For the upcoming matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Tampa Bay Lightning on Friday at 7:00 PM ET, we have highlighted the best bets to think about, along with our picks and predictions, in the article below.

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Hurricanes vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.4 goals)

  • Carolina and its opponent went over 6.5 combined goals in 39 of 93 games last season.
  • Tampa Bay combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 44 of 87 games last season.
  • The teams averaged 6.9 goals per game combined, 0.4 more than this one’s total.
  • Opponents of these two teams averaged 5.8 goals per game combined, 0.7 fewer than this one’s total.
  • The Lightning were fifth in the league in goals scored, compared to the eighth-ranked Hurricanes.
  • This game features the league’s 22nd-ranked (Lightning) and fourth-ranked (Hurricanes) teams last season in terms of defense.

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Moneyline Pick

Hurricanes Moneyline: -133

  • The Hurricanes won 63.5% of their games last season when they were a moneyline favorite (54-31).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite at -133 or shorter, Carolina went 48-27.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Hurricanes’ implied win probability is 57.1%.

Lightning Moneyline: +112

  • Last season the Lightning had 15 wins in the 35 games in which they were an underdog.
  • Tampa Bay was 8-11 as an underdog of +112 or longer on the moneyline last season.
  • The moneyline implies a 47.2% chance to win for the Lightning.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Carolina 4, Tampa Bay 2

Hurricanes Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • With 36 goals and 53 assists last season, Sebastian Aho was one of Carolina’s leading contributors (89 points).
  • With 33 goals and 34 assists, Seth Jarvis was among the top offensive options for Carolina a season ago (67 points, 0.8 per game).
  • With 56 points in 81 games last season (10 goals and 46 assists), Shayne Gostisbehere was a key cog in the Carolina’s offensive attack.
  • In the 42 games Pyotr Kochetkov played a season ago, his save percentage was .911, 17th in the league.

Lightning Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov totaled 100 assists and 44 goals in 81 games last season, for 144 points.
  • Brayden Point’s 90 points last season, including 46 goals and 44 assists, made him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
  • Jake Guentzel had 30 goals and 47 assists for Carolina.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy had a 30-20-2 record last season, with a .900 save percentage (40th in the league). In 52 games, he gave up 148 goals (2.9 goals against average).

Hurricanes’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/11/2024 Lightning Home -133
10/12/2024 Lightning Away
10/15/2024 Devils Home
10/18/2024 Penguins Away

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/11/2024 Hurricanes Away +112
10/12/2024 Hurricanes Home
10/15/2024 Canucks Home
10/17/2024 Golden Knights Home

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Carolina vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Friday, October 11, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
  • Venue: PNC Arena

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