Liberty vs. UT Arlington Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 21

Published 11:31 pm Friday, December 20, 2024

Saturday’s contest between the Liberty Flames (11-1) and the UT Arlington Mavericks (6-6) at Liberty Arena should be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 79-67 and heavily favors Liberty to come out on top. Tipoff is at 2:00 PM ET on December 21.

According to our computer prediction, Liberty projects to cover the 9.5-point spread in its matchup against UT Arlington. The over/under is listed at 143.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Liberty vs. UT Arlington Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Lynchburg, Virginia
  • Venue: Liberty Arena
  • Line: Liberty -9.5
  • Point total: 143.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Liberty -500, UT Arlington +360

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Liberty vs. UT Arlington Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Liberty 79, UT Arlington 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Liberty vs. UT Arlington

  • Pick ATS: Liberty (-9.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (143.5)

Liberty has put together a 7-2-0 record against the spread this season, while UT Arlington is 6-4-0. The Flames are 5-4-0 and the Mavericks are 5-5-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score 161.4 points per game, 17.9 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Liberty Performance Insights

  • The Flames have a +279 scoring differential, topping opponents by 23.3 points per game. They’re putting up 81.6 points per game to rank 58th in college basketball and are giving up 58.3 per contest to rank seventh in college basketball.
  • The 33.9 rebounds per game Liberty averages rank 135th in college basketball, and are 7.1 more than the 26.8 its opponents grab per contest.
  • Liberty connects on 10.9 three-pointers per game (12th in college basketball), 5.1 more than its opponents (5.8). It is shooting 38.3% from deep (35th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 29.7%.
  • The Flames average 109.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and give up 78.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball).
  • Liberty has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10 per game (54th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.3 (99th in college basketball).

UT Arlington Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks put up 79.8 points per game (89th in college basketball) while giving up 73.9 per contest (257th in college basketball). They have a +70 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 5.9 points per game.
  • The 34.4 rebounds per game UT Arlington accumulates rank 113th in college basketball, 3.6 more than the 30.8 its opponents record.
  • UT Arlington knocks down 10.3 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball) at a 39.1% rate (25th in college basketball), compared to the 6.3 per game its opponents make, at a 31% rate.
  • UT Arlington has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.8 per game (279th in college basketball) while forcing 10.8 (273rd in college basketball).

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