On Saturday, Jan. 18 at 8 p.m. ET, the Detroit Lions will play the Washington Commanders at Ford Field. Our computer model projects that the Lions will claim a victory — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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Offensively, the Lions have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by totaling 409.5 yards per game. They rank 20th on defense (342.4 yards allowed per game). The Commanders’ offense has been thriving, posting 28.5 points per game (fifth-best) this season. On defense, they rank 18th by giving up 23 points per game.

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Commanders vs. Lions Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have a 20.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Washington put together a 10-7-0 record against the spread in the regular season and is 1-0-0 in the postseason.
• Washington and its opponent combined to hit the over 11 out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of one in the postseason.
• The over/under for this game is 9.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Commanders games in the regular season (45.9).

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Lions Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Lions an 84.6% chance to win.
• Detroit has compiled a 12-5-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Lions have covered the spread twice when favored by 9.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• Detroit and its opponent have combined to go over the point total nine out of 17 times this season.
• The over/under in this game is 55.5 points, 5.1 higher than the average total in Lions games this season (playoffs included).

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Commanders vs. Lions 2024 Scoring Insights

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